Good advice from j / d

j / d is a storm chaser from Houston (check out his pics from chasing down Edouard)

as we are now roughly three days away from ike's arrival (or less), here is the NHC forecast for hurricane katrina three days before landfall :




and, here's rita's prediction at three days prior to landfall:



the margin of error this far out is still roughly 100-150 miles. along the texas coast, this could obviously mean a world of difference. basically, if ike turns towards the north just a 50-60 miles sooner than the models are currently predicting, galveston and parts of houston could be really screwed. and as the katrina and rita models show, significant errors in where storms track, not to mention their intensity, are actually kinda the norm.


just sayin' ........